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Cincinnati Reds vs St.Louis Cardinals

06. 06. 14:15 · Busch Stadium

Away Nick Lodolo vs Home Matthew Liberatore

LIVE · 3 inCincinnati Reds 2 : 3 St.Louis Cardinals
Line score123456789RHE
Cincinnati Reds002200
St.Louis Cardinals03360
Predicted winnerSt.Louis Cardinals
Projected scoreCincinnati Reds 3 : 5 St.Louis Cardinals

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Projected lineup

Cincinnati Reds (Away)
  1. Blake Dunn
  2. Elly De La Cruz
  3. JJ Bleday
  4. Sal Stewart
  5. Eugenio Suárez
  6. Nathaniel Lowe
  7. Spencer Steer
  8. Will Benson
  9. P.J. Higgins
St.Louis Cardinals (Home)
  1. Lars Nootbaar
  2. Iván Herrera
  3. Alec Burleson
  4. Jordan Walker
  5. Bryan Torres
  6. Masyn Winn
  7. Nolan Gorman
  8. Jimmy Crooks
  9. Victor Scott II

Key factors

  • St. Louis Cardinals' starting pitcher Matthew Liberatore has shown more stable performance this season with a 4.35 ERA and 1.48 FIP compared to Cincinnati Reds' starter Nick Lodolo's 5.20 ERA and 6.76 FIP.
  • The Cincinnati Reds' bullpen has been highly unstable, allowing 6 runs in their last game, with closer Tony Santillan struggling significantly (14 earned runs in his last 9.1 innings) and Sam Moll emerging as a potential option.
  • While the St. Louis Cardinals have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games, they are coming off a dominant 10-3 victory against the Reds in the previous game, building momentum for this matchup.
  • Nick Lodolo has a career 2-1 record with a 4.85 ERA against the Cardinals in 3 appearances, while Matthew Liberatore had a 0-1 record with a 4.50 ERA against the Reds in 3 appearances in 2025.
  • Busch Stadium, generally a pitcher-friendly park (park factor 0.98), is expected to have high temperatures (around 28.8°C or 83.9°F), which could slightly favor offense despite the park's inherent characteristics. [cite: 27 (previous output), 19 (previous output)]

Briefing

Today at Busch Stadium, the St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds will face off in a National League Central rivalry game. The Cardinals hold a season record of 33-28, while the Reds are at 31-31, with the Cardinals leading the season series 2-1. Coming off a dominant 10-3 victory against the Reds yesterday, the Cardinals are looking to capitalize on their home advantage and extend their winning streak.

On the mound for the Cardinals is left-hander Matthew Liberatore, who has posted a 3-3 record with a 4.35 ERA and 1.48 FIP over 12 starts this season, demonstrating relatively consistent performance. For the Reds, left-hander Nick Lodolo will start, having a 2-1 record with a 5.20 ERA and a high 6.76 FIP in 5 starts, indicating a less stable beginning to his season. While Lodolo has a career 4.85 ERA against the Cardinals, Liberatore also has a 4.50 ERA against the Reds in the 2025 season, suggesting neither pitcher has a definitive historical advantage in this matchup. Considering Liberatore's more stable command and Lodolo's higher FIP, the Cardinals' offense is projected to have a slightly better outlook in this game.

The bullpen situation heavily favors the Cardinals. The Reds' bullpen imploded in their last game, surrendering 6 runs, and their closer Tony Santillan has been highly ineffective, allowing 14 earned runs over his last 9.1 innings. In contrast, Cardinals' reliever Hunter Dobbins emerged as a key bullpen arm with a 5-inning scoreless outing in the previous game. In terms of lineups, Matt McLain of the Reds was out for Friday's game, making his status for today uncertain. [cite: 38 (from initial search)] The Cardinals' lineup is expected to be led by Jordan Walker and Lars Nootbaar, while Elly De La Cruz and JJ Bleday will be key players for the Reds. Overall, based on team form, pitching matchup, and bullpen stability, the St. Louis Cardinals are favored in this contest.

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