Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates
07. 27. 18:40 · PNC Park
Away Merrill Kelly vs Home Mitch Keller
| Line score | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | |||
| Pittsburgh Pirates |
⚔️ You vs AIMy record →
Who wins? Pick before the game and go head-to-head with the AI.
AI pick: Pittsburgh Pirates · You can change your pick until the game starts.
Chat
Connecting…Be the first to say something.
Predicted winnerPittsburgh Pirates
60%
Projected scoreArizona Diamondbacks 5 : 7 Pittsburgh Pirates
Key factors
- Pittsburgh starter Mitch Keller boasts a strong career record against Arizona, with a 2-0 record and a 2.29 ERA in 6 appearances.
- Arizona starter Merrill Kelly has been struggling this season with a 5.12 ERA and a 5.86 FIP, and has been pulled after 5 innings in 3 of his last 4 starts.
- Pittsburgh's offense has shown consistent power recently, batting .250 with 12 home runs in their last 10 games, with Brandon Lowe being particularly strong against right-handed pitchers.
- Arizona's offense is hot, with a .290 batting average and 14 home runs in their last 10 games, but their away record stands at 24-29.
- PNC Park is a hitter-friendly ballpark this season, with a park factor of 109 for both batting and pitching, suggesting a high-scoring game.
Briefing
Today's game at PNC Park between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Arizona Diamondbacks is set to be influenced by the contrasting recent performances of the starting pitchers and the current form of both offenses. Pittsburgh's starting pitcher, Mitch Keller, holds a season record of 6-7 with a 4.90 ERA, but he has historically performed exceptionally well against Arizona, with a career 2-0 record and a 2.29 ERA in 6 appearances. He also showed promising signs of a turnaround in his last outing against the New York Yankees, throwing 5 scoreless innings.
Conversely, Arizona's starter, Merrill Kelly, has had a shaky season with an 8-8 record, a 5.12 ERA, and a 5.86 FIP. He has frequently been pulled before completing 6 innings in recent starts, which could place an early burden on the bullpen. Both offenses have been hot lately. Pittsburgh's lineup has a .250 batting average with 12 home runs in their last 10 games, with Brandon Lowe being a key power threat against right-handed pitchers. Arizona's offense is also strong, hitting .290 with 14 home runs over their last 10 contests. However, Arizona's 24-29 away record could be a critical factor.
Considering PNC Park is a hitter-friendly venue this season (park factor 109 for batting and pitching), both teams are expected to generate ample scoring opportunities. Overall, the Pittsburgh Pirates are projected to have a slight edge, largely due to Keller's historical dominance against the Diamondbacks and their home-field advantage. However, Arizona's recent offensive surge and the Pirates' bullpen's 4.44 ERA over the last 10 games are factors to watch.