Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees
07. 22. 19:05 · 양키 스타디움
Away Bubba Chandler vs Home Max Fried
| Line score | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates | |||
| New York Yankees |
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Predicted winnerNew York Yankees
70%
Projected scorePittsburgh Pirates 3 : 5 New York Yankees
Projected lineup
Pittsburgh Pirates (Away)
- Jake Mangum
- Nick Gonzales
- Bryan Reynolds
- Esmerlyn Valdez
- Ryan O'Hearn
- Marcell Ozuna
- Brandon Lowe
- Rafael Flores Jr.
- Jared Triolo
New York Yankees (Home)
- Trent Grisham
- Ben Rice
- Spencer Jones
- Cody Bellinger
- Jasson Dominguez
- Jazz Chisholm Jr.
- Jose Caballero
- Ryan McMahon
- Austin Wells
Key factors
- Home starter Max Fried boasts a significantly superior season ERA of 3.21 and WHIP of 1.01 compared to away starter Bubba Chandler's 4.77 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.
- The New York Yankees' bullpen leads the league with a 2026 season ERA of 3.39, offering far more stability than the Pittsburgh Pirates' bullpen ERA of 4.30.
- The Yankees hold a home record of 56-44 (.560) this season, superior to the Pirates' road performance, and Yankee Stadium's park factors, including out-blowing wind to right field and low air pressure, may favor hitters tonight.
- The Yankees' lineup features power hitters such as Ben Rice (.281 AVG, 29 HR) and Jazz Chisholm Jr. (16 HR).
Briefing
Tonight's matchup between the New York Yankees and Pittsburgh Pirates is anticipated to be heavily influenced by the starting pitching. The home team, the Yankees, will send Max Fried to the mound, who has posted an excellent 3.21 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 10 starts this 2026 season. Furthermore, Fried holds a strong career record of 4-1 with a 3.94 ERA against the Pirates. In contrast, the Pirates' starter, Bubba Chandler, has shown some inconsistency this season, with a 3-8 record, a 4.77 ERA, and a 1.45 WHIP over 19 appearances.
The Yankees currently boast a 56-44 record, good for 2nd in the league, with a balanced offense and defense, averaging 4.8 runs scored and 3.9 runs allowed per game. Their bullpen is particularly strong, leading the league with a 3.39 ERA in 2026, providing a reliable backend to close out games. The Pirates, with a 52-49 record, average 5.3 runs per game, slightly higher than the Yankees, but also concede more runs at 4.8 per game. Yankee Stadium, with an anticipated out-blowing wind to right field and low air pressure, is expected to play as a slightly hitter-friendly park, which could benefit powerful Yankees hitters like Ben Rice (29 HR) and Jazz Chisholm Jr. (16 HR). Considering the overall strength disparity and the significant advantage in the starting pitching matchup, the New York Yankees are poised for a victory at home.