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MLBScheduled

St.Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs

07. 05. 14:30 · Wrigley Field

Away Matthew Liberatore vs Home Javier Assad

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Predicted winnerSt.Louis Cardinals
Projected scoreSt.Louis Cardinals 5 : 3 Chicago Cubs

Projected lineup

St.Louis Cardinals (Away)
  1. JJ Wetherholt
  2. Ivan Herrera
  3. Jordan Walker
  4. Alec Burleson
  5. Masyn Winn
  6. Jose Fermin
  7. Lars Nootbaar
  8. Pedro Pages
  9. Nathan Church
Chicago Cubs (Home)
  1. Pete Crow-Armstrong
  2. Alex Bregman
  3. Seiya Suzuki
  4. Carson Kelly
  5. Michael Busch
  6. Nico Hoerner
  7. Ian Happ
  8. Dansby Swanson
  9. Kevin Alcántara

Key factors

  • The St. Louis Cardinals are on a dominant streak against the Chicago Cubs in this series, having secured two consecutive wins (17-1, 3-0).
  • Cubs starting pitcher Javier Assad has shown recent struggles, allowing 7 earned runs over his last 7.2 innings pitched.
  • Cardinals starting pitcher Matthew Liberatore has a strong career record against the Cubs, with a 3-1 W-L and a 2.97 ERA in 13 appearances.
  • Wrigley Field, the venue for today's game, is expected to be pitcher-friendly with cooler temperatures (70°F) and a 10-15 mph wind blowing in from left-center, potentially reducing overall runs by about 2 and home runs by 0.6.

Briefing

Today's matchup between the Chicago Cubs and the St. Louis Cardinals is expected to lean in favor of the Cardinals. St. Louis has seized control of this series with commanding victories of 17-1 and 3-0 against the Cubs, showcasing significant momentum. Their offense, in particular, has been explosive in recent games.

Cubs starter Javier Assad holds a 6-1 record with a 4.53 ERA this season, but he has appeared shaky in his recent outings, having surrendered 7 earned runs over his last 7.2 innings pitched. On the other side, Cardinals starter Matthew Liberatore, despite a season record of 4-5 with a 5.33 ERA, has historically performed well against the Cubs, posting a 3-1 record with a 2.97 ERA in 13 career appearances. While Liberatore has also shown inconsistency with 4 or more earned runs in three of his last four starts, his favorable career statistics against the Cubs suggest he might deliver a stronger performance today.

The weather conditions at Wrigley Field are also noteworthy. Today's game is expected to feature cooler temperatures (70°F) and a 10-15 mph wind blowing in from left-center field, creating a pitcher-friendly environment. This atmospheric factor is likely to suppress overall scoring and could particularly benefit pitchers prone to giving up home runs. Considering the Cardinals' strong recent form, Liberatore's historical success against the Cubs, and the pitcher-friendly conditions at Wrigley Field, the Cardinals are well-positioned to secure a victory.

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