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Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks

07. 04. 21:40 · 체이스 필드

Away Brandon Woodruff vs Home Merrill Kelly

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Predicted winnerMilwaukee Brewers
Projected scoreMilwaukee Brewers 6 : 3 Arizona Diamondbacks

Key factors

  • Milwaukee Brewers' starting pitcher Brandon Woodruff boasts an impressive 2.59 ERA this season (2.22 ERA in his last 10 games) and has delivered two consecutive scoreless starts.
  • Arizona Diamondbacks' starter Merrill Kelly has struggled with a 4.60 ERA in his last 10 games and holds a career ERA of 3.41 against the Brewers.
  • The Milwaukee Brewers are on a hot streak, with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, including a 7-4 victory over the Diamondbacks in their previous matchup.
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games and a weak team batting average of .229 during that stretch.
  • The Brewers' bullpen maintained a 3.25 ERA (7th best in MLB) through April and May but saw it slip to 4.36 in June. The Diamondbacks' bullpen struggled early (5.03 ERA in March-April) before a strong May (2.18 ERA), but their ERA climbed back to 5.02 in June.

Briefing

Today's game features the surging Milwaukee Brewers against the Arizona Diamondbacks, who are looking to rebound at home. The Brewers are having an excellent season with a 54-32 record, placing them 2nd in the league, while the Diamondbacks sit near .500 with a 43-44 record. In their season series, the Brewers hold a 3-1 advantage. The Brewers are also in good form, posting a 7-3 record in their last 10 games.

On the mound, Brewers' starter Brandon Woodruff is a formidable presence. He boasts an outstanding 2.59 ERA this season, with a dominant 2.22 ERA and 58 strikeouts over his last 10 appearances. He has delivered two consecutive scoreless starts, indicating he is in peak condition. In contrast, Diamondbacks' starter Merrill Kelly has struggled recently, posting a 4.60 ERA in his last 10 games, and holds a career ERA of 3.41 against the Brewers. Offensively, the Brewers average 5.2 runs per game compared to the Diamondbacks' 4.3, giving Milwaukee an edge in scoring power. Furthermore, the Brewers' team batting average in their last 10 games is superior, showcasing a hotter offense.

Regarding the bullpens, the Brewers were solid with a 3.25 ERA in April and May, ranking 7th in MLB, but their performance dipped to a 4.36 ERA in June. The Diamondbacks' bullpen struggled early (5.03 ERA in March-April) before improving significantly in May (2.18 ERA), only to see their ERA rise again to 5.02 in June. Therefore, the key factors for this game will likely be Woodruff's strong pitching and the Brewers' overall team superiority. Chase Field, the home ballpark, has become more neutral or even slightly pitcher-friendly since the introduction of a humidor in 2018 and artificial turf in 2019.

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