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San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles

06. 13. 16:05 · 오리올 파크 앳 캠든 야즈

Away Randy Vasquez vs Home Trey Gibson

LIVE · 2 inSan Diego Padres 4 : 2 Baltimore Orioles
Top 20 out · B1 S2AB Fernando Tatis Jr. · P Trey Gibson
Line score123456789RHE
San Diego Padres40430
Baltimore Orioles2220
  • Top 1San Diego PadresJackson Merrill Home Run (2RBI) · 2:0
  • Top 1San Diego PadresSamad Taylor Home Run (2RBI) · 4:0
  • Bot 1Baltimore OriolesPete Alonso Home Run (1RBI) · 4:1
  • Bot 1Baltimore OriolesLeody Taveras Triple (1RBI) · 4:2
Box score

San Diego Padres

BatterABHRBIR
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2B0001
Jackson Merrill CF 1HR1121
Manny Machado 3B1000
Xander Bogaerts SS0001
Gavin Sheets 1B1000
Samad Taylor LF 1HR1121
Will Wagner DH1100
Jase Bowen RF1000
Freddy Fermin C0000
PitcherIPSOBBER
Randy Vásquez1.0112

Baltimore Orioles

BatterABHRBIR
Taylor Ward DH1000
Gunnar Henderson SS1000
Pete Alonso 1B 1HR1111
Samuel Basallo C0001
Leody Taveras CF1110
Colton Cowser LF1000
Tyler O'Neill RF0000
Jackson Holliday 2B0000
Blaze Alexander 3B0000
PitcherIPSOBBER
Trey Gibson1.0134

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Predicted winnerBaltimore Orioles
Projected scoreSan Diego Padres 4 : 6 Baltimore Orioles

Projected lineup

San Diego Padres (Away)
  1. Fernando Tatis Jr.
  2. Jackson Merrill
  3. Manny Machado
  4. Xander Bogaerts
  5. Garrett Sheets
  6. Stephen Taylor
  7. Brandon Wagner
  8. Jase Bowen
  9. Freddy Fermin
Baltimore Orioles (Home)
  1. Taylor Ward
  2. Gunnar Henderson
  3. Adley Rutschman
  4. Pete Alonso
  5. Samuel Basallo
  6. Coby Mayo
  7. Colton Cowser
  8. Tyler O'Neill
  9. Jackson Holliday

Key factors

  • Baltimore is coming off a strong 7-3 victory against San Diego yesterday, carrying momentum into today's game.
  • San Diego's starting pitcher Randy Vasquez holds a season ERA of 3.63, but his expected ERA (xERA) is a concerning 6.55, and he has a career 0-1 record with a 7.71 ERA against Baltimore.
  • The San Diego Padres' offense ranks among the league's worst, sitting 28th in team OPS and 30th in MLB with an average of 3.8 runs per game.
  • Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore's home stadium, has a run park factor of 103 and a home run park factor of 119 for the 2024-2026 seasons, indicating a hitter-friendly environment.

Briefing

Today, the Baltimore Orioles aim for a consecutive win at home against the San Diego Padres. Baltimore secured a 7-3 victory yesterday, riding a wave of momentum, and boasts a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, outperforming San Diego's 3-7 mark. The home team Orioles hold a 34-37 season record, placing them 4th in the AL East, while the visiting Padres are 35-33, ranking 2nd in the NL West.

On the mound, Baltimore's Trey Gibson will make the start. Gibson holds a 1-1 record with a 4.24 ERA this season, having pitched 17.0 innings. Despite his limited innings, he exhibits a high groundball rate of 50.8%. San Diego's starter Randy Vasquez has a respectable 5-4 record with a 3.63 ERA, but his expected ERA (xERA) of 6.55 is significantly higher, suggesting he might be due for regression. Furthermore, Vasquez has struggled against Baltimore in his career, with a 0-1 record and a 7.71 ERA in two starts.

Offensively, San Diego's lineup has been lackluster, ranking 28th in team OPS and 30th in the league with an average of 3.8 runs per game, along with a .218 team batting average and .291 OBP. In contrast, the Orioles' offense showed signs of life by scoring 7 runs yesterday and appears to be finding its rhythm. Oriole Park at Camden Yards, being a hitter-friendly ballpark, could further benefit the Orioles' hitters. While San Diego's bullpen is generally considered stronger, they have shown some recent vulnerability. Overall, the Baltimore Orioles are favored to win, leveraging their home advantage and recent offensive surge.

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