Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles
06. 11. 19:05 · 오리올 파크 앳 캠든 야즈
Away Bryan Woo vs Home Kyle Bradish
| Line score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 1 |
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Predicted winnerBaltimore Orioles
52%
Projected scoreSeattle Mariners 4 : 5 Baltimore Orioles
Key factors
- Baltimore starter Kyle Bradish shows strong performance at home with a low 2.38 ERA.
- Seattle starter Bryan Woo has struggled on the road, posting a high 5.08 ERA in away games.
- Baltimore's lineup has shown decent offense with a .262 team batting average in their last 10 games, and Pete Alonso is hot with 3 home runs and 7 RBIs in his last 10 games.
- Seattle's key hitter Julio Rodriguez is in a slump, batting just 1-for-12 in this series.
- The Baltimore bullpen showed instability in May, recording the third-worst bullpen ERA in MLB.
- Baltimore is under an extreme heat advisory with a heat index over 100 degrees Fahrenheit, which could impact player stamina.
Briefing
Today's game between the Baltimore Orioles and the Seattle Mariners appears to hinge significantly on the stark home/road performances of their respective starting pitchers. For the home team, Baltimore, starter Kyle Bradish holds a season record of 3-7 with a 3.89 ERA, but notably boasts a superb 2.38 ERA in home games, indicating a strong advantage at Oriole Park. Conversely, Seattle's starter Bryan Woo, despite a solid overall record of 5-4 with a 3.74 ERA, has shown vulnerability on the road, where his ERA climbs to a concerning 5.08. This pitching matchup clearly favors the Orioles.
Offensively, the Orioles have a slight edge in recent form with a .262 team batting average over their last 10 games, compared to Seattle's .254. Pete Alonso is a key contributor, heating up with 3 home runs and 7 RBIs in his last 10 outings. Seattle's star hitter Julio Rodriguez, however, has struggled significantly in this series, going just 1-for-12, which could hinder the Mariners' run production. A potential weakness for Baltimore lies in its bullpen, which posted the third-worst ERA in MLB during May and currently has an interim closer situation. Furthermore, Baltimore is under an extreme heat advisory today, with the heat index expected to exceed 100 degrees Fahrenheit, which could affect player performance and endurance. Camden Yards, for the 2026 season, shows park factors of 96 for home runs and 99 for runs (100 being average), making it slightly pitcher-friendly for power, but a 109 factor for singles suggests it can be a good park for base hits.
Considering the significant home-field advantage for Bradish, Woo's struggles on the road, and the recent offensive trends, the Orioles are projected to have a slight edge. While Seattle's bullpen strength could be a factor in late innings, Rodriguez's slump and their starter's road vulnerability are challenges they must overcome. Trailing 1-2 in the series, Baltimore is well-positioned to turn the tide at home.