Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins
06. 10. 18:40 · 론디포 파크
Away Ryne Nelson vs Home Ryan Gusto
| Line score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Miami Marlins | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
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Predicted winnerMiami Marlins
56%
Projected scoreArizona Diamondbacks 5 : 6 Miami Marlins
Key factors
- The Miami Marlins show strong performance at home with a 21-16 record, while the Arizona Diamondbacks struggle on the road with a 13-18 record.
- In recent head-to-head matchups, the Marlins are on a four-game winning streak against the Diamondbacks, including a 10-6 victory in their last game.
- Diamondbacks' starting pitcher Ryne Nelson holds a 4.60 ERA this season and has been susceptible to home runs, allowing 15 long balls in the 2026 season.
- The Diamondbacks' bullpen is considered 'somewhat-taxed' and 'shaky at best,' potentially becoming a weak point in later innings.
- While Marlins' starter Ryan Gusto has a concerning 10.80 ERA, the Diamondbacks' offense is in a slump, having lost seven of their last 10 games.
Briefing
Today's game at loanDepot Park between the Miami Marlins and the Arizona Diamondbacks is expected to be influenced by the Marlins' home advantage and recent momentum. The Marlins have demonstrated strong performance at home with a 21-16 record, and they are currently enjoying a four-game winning streak against the Diamondbacks, including a dominant 10-6 victory in their last outing.
On the mound, both teams will send out unstable starting pitchers. Marlins' starter Ryan Gusto has struggled significantly this season, holding a 0-1 record with a high 10.80 ERA and a 1.80 WHIP. For the Diamondbacks, Ryne Nelson, with a 2-4 record and a 4.60 ERA, is also not in top form. He has shown a particular vulnerability to home runs, having allowed 15 long balls this season and 9 in his last seven starts. This is a notable concern, even in the generally pitcher-friendly loanDepot Park (2026 HR factor 73).
Offensively, the Diamondbacks are in a slump, having lost seven of their last 10 games. Key hitter Ildemaro Vargas is struggling, with a .541 OPS in May and just 1-for-14 in June. Conversely, the Marlins' offense showed firepower by scoring 10 runs in their last game, and key players like Otto Lopez (batting .341) and Liam Hicks (12 HR, 48 RBI) are performing well. The Diamondbacks' bullpen is described as 'somewhat-taxed' and 'shaky at best', which could further benefit the Marlins in later innings. Overall, despite Gusto's shaky start, the Marlins' home crowd, recent offensive cohesion, and the opponent's struggles make them slightly favored to win by a narrow margin.