Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays
06. 07. 13:37 · Rogers Centre
Away 셰인 바즈 vs Home 케빈 가우스먼
| Line score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 1 |
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Predicted winnerBaltimore Orioles
62%
Projected scoreBaltimore Orioles 6 : 4 Toronto Blue Jays
Key factors
- Baltimore's starting pitcher Shane Baz has been dominant against Toronto, holding a career record of 4 wins, 0 losses, a 2.23 ERA, and a 0.990 WHIP in 6 starts.
- Toronto's starting pitcher Kevin Gausman has a career ERA of 4.53 against Baltimore in 8 starts, which is higher than his season ERA of 3.36.
- Baltimore's offense is in good form, batting .287 as a team in their last 10 games and averaging 4.7 runs per game, higher than Toronto's 4.1 runs per game.
- While the season series is tied 3-3, Baltimore has a better recent record of 6-4 (or 7-3 by some sources) in their last 10 games compared to Toronto's 5-5.
Briefing
Today's game at Rogers Centre features the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles, both locked in a tight mid-table battle with identical 31-34 season records. While the season series stands at a close 3-3, the Baltimore Orioles are projected to have a slight edge, primarily due to their starting pitching matchup and recent offensive performance.
For the home team, Toronto, Kevin Gausman takes the mound. Gausman has posted a solid 4-4 record with a 3.36 ERA and 1.09 WHIP this season. However, historically against the Orioles, he has struggled with a career 4.53 ERA in 8 starts. In contrast, Baltimore's starter Shane Baz, despite a season record of 3-5 with a 4.29 ERA, boasts an exceptional career record against the Blue Jays: 4 wins, 0 losses, a 2.23 ERA, and a 0.990 WHIP in 6 starts. Baz's historical dominance over Toronto will be a pivotal factor in today's contest.
Offensively, Baltimore has been in better form recently. The Orioles are hitting an impressive .287 as a team in their last 10 games and average 4.7 runs per game, outscoring Toronto's 4.1 runs per game. Key hitters like Pete Alonso (13 HR, 40 RBI) and Gunnar Henderson (13 HR, 32 RBI) are leading their charge. Toronto's offense, spearheaded by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (5-for-15 with 1 HR against Baz) and Kazuma Okamoto (13 HR, 36 RBI), might face difficulties in run production given Baz's strong history against them. The weather at Rogers Centre is expected to be clear and warm at 25°C, likely allowing the roof to be open, which could favor hitters, though the park has also been rated as slightly pitcher-friendly. Overall, Shane Baz's strong track record against Toronto and the Orioles' recent offensive momentum are expected to be the key determinants of the game's outcome.